Opportunity
Analyses have already quantitatively gauged the potential gains for the Belt & Road countries. For example, authors Garcia-Herrero and Xu estimated how trade would be generated thanks to the improvement of transport infrastructure in the Belt and Road geographies. The authors found that gains are 6% for Europe and 3% for Asia, while the rest of the world suffers a 0.04% reduction in trade. A good example is Nepal. Massive Chinese infrastructure investments in Nepal aim to link it with economic activities of China and India, providing new momentum for Nepal’s development. Initially, this initiative made Russia worried because of its effect on the Trans-Siberian Railway. However, two international transport corridors (Primorye-1 and Primorye-2) under the BRI have linked Russia with the Asia-Pacific region, providing a new opportunity for Russia to develop. Similarly, experts shows that the BRI will bring benefits also to Africa through its massive construction scheme.